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A couple of things I’ll point out:
- The mentions for Murphy are a little low because of an overly tight filter. That will be fixed next month, but the fix doesn’t add much to his counts.
- I left the other GOP contenders out because they have negligible presence on Twitter.
- Alan Schlesinger got 24 mentions total in the month.
- I can’t even find a Twitter account for Brian Lara (Twitter helpfully suggests Flo Rida, however). The guy is a software developer and can’t handle Twitter? Come on, it’s not that hard.
- Beverly Hires’ personal Twitter account is locked. Her campaign Twitter account has 4 followers and no tweets. It has a nice picture, though. Good luck with that.
- Carl Domino’s burst at the end of the month is almost all negative tweets from the Turnquest camp.
- The democratic incumbent, Patrick Murphy, is still outpacing Calvin Turnquest on Twitter, but I think that the lead is illusionary. There was a relatively quiet spell in the middle of the month for Turnquest. Had he sustained activity equally throughout the month, he would have outpaced Murphy with ease.
Some thoughts:
- Domino has no real independent presence on Twitter, and if you don’t show up, your straw-man gets whacked. For a military guy, he’s getting severely outflanked. We’ve seen this movie before, it’s “Rubio-Crist”, with Carl playing the role of Charlie.
- There’s going to be a pivot sooner rather than later in the public’s perception, because people will start to realize that Turnquest has a great shot at winning in November. A some point there’s going to be a kiss-and-make-up offer from the GOP.
Bottom line: Turnquest is the only GOP candidate who’s got the hustle to win in November. I’ve said that all along, and it’s still true.
